how much an option tracks the stock · Options & probability — the math of “what are the odds?”
How much an option’s price moves for each $1 the stock moves — and, loosely, the market’s rough odds the option finishes in the money. A 0.55-delta option gains about 55 cents per $1 the stock rises.
Delta overstates the true probability for long-dated, high-volatility options, so the app also shows the cleaner Black–Scholes probability (the N(d2) figure) next to it — the honest chance of finishing above the strike or breakeven.
delta ≈ change in option price ÷ change in stock price (per $1 move) in Black–Scholes: delta = N(d₁)